Hurricane season

Rafael triggers tropical storm warning for Florida Keys, Jamaica and hurricane warning for Cuba, Cayman Islands

Although it’s late in the season, Rafael's impact won’t change.

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Tropical Storm Rafael is passing just south of Jamaica Tuesday but not before spreading heavy rain and tropical storm winds across the island.

As of early Tuesday, a tropical storm warning is now in effect for the lower and middle Florida Keys from Key West to west of the Channel 5 Bridge and for the Dry Tortugas, according to the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center.

Rafael was 65 miles southwest of Montego Bay, Jamaica as of 10 a.m. with sustained winds of 60 mph.

The storm is expected to continue strengthening is it moves to the northwest and will likely become a hurricane by early Wednesday.

This has also prompted hurricane warnings for the Cayman Islands and portions of Cuba.

Cayman could see hurricane-force winds as early as Tuesday evening with Cuba feeling hurricane conditions later on Wednesday.

Look for heavy rain and some storm surge as well.

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As Rafael forms, gusty forecast and watch issued for the Keys

Impact on South Florida

South Florida will see gusts to tropical storm strength right into early Thursday with the strongest winds likely to hit the lower and middle Keys. It wouldn't be surprising to see gusts over 50 there Wednesday into early Thursday.

Rainfall totals of 1 to 3 inches are expected for the lower and middle Florida Keys.

Some minor storm surge of 1-3 feet is also possible across portions of the Keys as well.

As far as rain is concerned, South Floridians can expected scattered showers for Tuesday but Wednesday could bring a few severe storms, especially across the lower Keys.

South Florida's weather improves dramatically by late Thursday with a tranquil weekend on tap as Rafael slowly spins down somewhere in the central/northern Gulf.

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