A tropical depression could form in the Atlantic by the end of the week, the National Hurricane Center in Miami said Monday night.
According to the NHC, an area of low pressure in the central Atlantic was producing occasional showers and storms.
At this time, it remains in an unfavorable environment and development is not anticipated in the next couple of days.
The system is fighting dry air and wind shear in the short term and only has a 10% chance of tropical development over the next 48 hours.
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As the low heads west, it will move into a more favorable environment and may have enough composure for development.
At that point, towards the weekend, a 60% chance of tropical development is expected.
Should a depression develop, it would end up near the Leeward Islands by Saturday or Sunday.
We are watching a new area of showers and storms in the central Atlantic. This disturbance has a 50% chance of development several days down the road. At this point, models are pulling this system north and/or having it absorbed by a front...keeping it away from us. @nbc6 pic.twitter.com/XsZhaMpQwC
— Adam Berg (@AdamBergNBC6) October 14, 2024
Additionally, a broad area of low pressure could develop by the weekend in the western Caribbean.
Current development chances hover around 20%.
At this time it does not appear that either pose a threat to the U.S. or South Florida.
So far in the 2024 season, 13 named storms have developed. From those 13 storms, 9 become hurricanes, four of which were major.
