The Latest
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The Central American gyre and how it relates to tropical systems
In what has turned into a below-average hurricane season by many measures, a lack of areas of interest in the tropical Atlantic means all eyes are laser-focused on the one area in which something — anything — might develop.
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By many metrics, this season has ‘suddenly become quite ordinary': John Morales
This is the week in which historical statistics caught up with the activity we’ve seen so far.
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‘Global weirding': John Morales among forecasters scratching head as hurricane season goes quiet
It’s not even halftime and we’ve had two U.S. hurricane landfalls, including beastly Beryl, and more could come.
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Party's over – busy time ahead in the Tropical Atlantic: John Morales
For those of us who never want to see a hurricane again, the hardest weeks of the year are ahead.
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John Morales explains conditions causing late-August lull in the tropics
It’s a lull, and it’s dull. But no one’s complaining.
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See how climate change influences sea surface temps – and how that plays a role this hurricane season
Hurricanes feed off of warm ocean waters. What happens then when that ocean heat is made 400 times more likely due to human-caused climate change? You get record-shattering Hurricane Beryl. Unusually warm ocean temperatures contributed to Hurricane Beryl’s rapid intensification. Climate Central’s new Climate Shift Index: Ocean (Ocean CSI) methodology, which quantifies the influence of climate change on sea...
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John Morales on NOAA's updated seasonal outlook and the next potential tropical disturbance
NOAA doubled down on its forecast for a hyperactive hurricane season yesterday.
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John Morales explains the potential impact of incoming tropical disturbance, why we've tracked it for days
NHC implemented a new longer-range Tropical Weather Outlook (TWO) this year. It is, in my (maybe unpopular) opinion, counterproductive.
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Another round of Saharan dust to move into South Florida by Sunday
South Florida is in the last throws of the Saharan dust season, but another large plume could move back into the region late this weekend.
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John Morales: How near-record amount of Saharan dust is shutting down tropical activity
The Saharan Air Layer is made up of extremely dry air that originates in one of the driest places on Earth and it contains about 50% less moisture than the typical tropical atmosphere.